San Antonio has been hosting this tournament since 1922, making it the third-oldest and longest-running PGA Tour event in the same city in history. The Valero Texas Open 2026 tees off this week from April 2 to 5 at The Oaks Course in TPC San Antonio, with 132 players competing for a $9,800,000 purse and, more importantly, a final shot at Masters momentum before Augusta the following week.
1. Tommy Fleetwood (+1500)
Two starts at The Oaks Course and a wide range of results tell you a lot about how unpredictable TPC San Antonio can be. Fleetwood navigated the winds well enough for a top-10 in 2024 (T7) but fell apart in 2025 (T62).
The world No. 4 enters the tournament as the top-seeded player in this field of 132. He leads the entire PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Around the Green, which is the kind of stat that wins tournaments.
Fleetwood has has three top-10s in four starts this season: a T4 at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, a T7 at the Genesis Invitational, and a T8 at THE PLAYERS Championship. Fleetwood is playing some of the most consistent golf on tour right now and is the rightful favourite at the Valero Texas Open.
2. Ludvig Åberg (+1600)
Ludvig Åberg had last played the tournament in 2024 and finished at T14. He missed the cut last season, but 2026 is going great so far. Ludvig held a three-shot lead going into Sunday at THE PLAYERS Championship before a 76 closed him out at T5. He also put up a T3 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He is knocking on the door and has not broken through since winning the Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines in 2025.
At +1600, he is priced just a tick behind Fleetwood, and that feels about right. The question is whether he can close this time after coming up short at THE PLAYERS.
3. Jordan Spieth (+1800)
Speith has an exceptional track record at TPC San Antonio: seven straight cuts made, a win, a runner-up (2015), and back-to-back top-12 finishes in 2024 (T10) and 2025 (T12). The Oaks Course fits his eye.
But his 2026 season has been rough by his standards. No top-10 in seven starts heading into San Antonio. He is still looking for that first strong result of the year. Can Valero Texas Open 2026 give him one?
4. Collin Morikawa (+2000)
His 2026 season was rolling nicely before a back issue forced him to withdraw after just one hole at THE PLAYERS Championship. He was on a streak of three consecutive top-10 results before that. Choosing to compete this week, with Augusta one week away, is itself a signal. His back is well enough to play, and he wants competitive reps before the first major.
He leads the entire PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green in 2026 (+1.066) and ranks fourth in SG: Tee to Green. Those are elite numbers. If the back holds and the putter cooperates, Morikawa can win the Valero Texas Open.
5. Rickie Fowler (+2700)
His record here is genuinely inconsistent: a T10 in 2023, a missed cut in 2024, and a T30 in 2025. But his 2023 performance showed he has the ability to score on this course. A closing 66 at TPC San Antonio is not easy. He has found the gears here before and can do it again.
At +2700 he is the longest price of these five, but there is value in a motivated player with a clear mission. Fowler is a six-time PGA Tour winner who has not lifted a trophy since 2023. A win this week secures can be a real fuel heading into the week.
